Welcome to the fourth day of Magic 2015 Spoilers! There were a few new Rares and one new Mythic spoiled overnight. A lot of previously-spoiled cards have moved in value, so please read through to the changes section to see all of the prices that have changed!
How I review:
Starting Price: The first price we assign to the card as a preorder.
Current Price: The current price of the card by the time this article goes live.
Future Price (Short Term): The price I believe the card will be at before Magic Online redemptions go live for Magic 2015.
Future Price (Medium Term): The price I believe the card will be at by the time the next set (Khans of Tarkir) comes out.
Future Price (Long Term): The price I believe the card will be at a year from now, when M16 is released.
Avacyn, Guardian Angel
Starting Price: $3
Current Price: $3
Future Price (Short Term): $2
Future Price (Medium Term): $2
Future Price (Long Term): $2
Avacyn, Angel of Hope is a $30 Mythic Rare that has a great appeal to both casual players and as a one-of in Reanimator decks. This Avacyn has three things working against her:
1) Rare instead of Mythic Rare
With that said, Avacyn is a popular Magic character. Angels are a popular Magic type. Between the two, and between the abilities on Avacyn being good enough, this won't end up as a bulk Rare. It probably will stick in the $2-$3 range as a fringe playable Standard card, and as a popular causal card.
Starting Price: $1
Current Price: $1
Future Price (Short Term): $1
Future Price (Medium Term): $1
Future Price (Long Term): $1.50
The Shards of Alara version of Crucible of Fire hit $4 (I dropped it to $3 after the reprint was spoiled). Over the very long term (2-3 years), this bodes well for the reprint version of Crucible, since it has a price history that is 3-4x as high as the current price. For the short term, M15 versions will flood the market putting this on the upper end of bulk range.
Note: This is also very likely a plant for Khans of Tarkir, since that set involves Sarkan Vol and was speculated to have a heavy dragon theme.
Starting Price: $8
Current Price: $8
Future Price (Short Term): $12
Future Price (Medium Term): $15
Future Price (Long Term): $15
My vote for the most undervalued card spoiled so far. Mythics have a much higher ceiling than $8, and this is a very playable board sweeper that has applications in Standard, Modern, and casual formats. I think Perilous Vault will at least double in price by the time Khans of Tarkir comes out, so I would recommend picking your copies up now. The closest comparisons I can draw is with All is Dust ($20) and Oblivion Stone ($12, Mirrodin Rare)
Starting Price: $3
Current Price: $3
Future Price (Short Term): $2.50
Future Price (Medium Term): $2.50
Future Price (Long Term): $3
A huge part of the Legacy metagame at this point. Was $5 for the MBS version before this reprint, so I expect it to halve in price for the short term, and then start recovering in price as time goes on.
Changes Since Yesterday:
Chandra, Pyromaster: From $10 to $8
Jalira, Master Polymorphist: From $2 to $1
Liliana Vess: From $10 to $8
Sliver Hive: From $3 to $4
Soul of Innistrad: From $6 to $5
Soul of Ravnica: From $4 to $3
Soul of Shandalar: From $10 to $8
Soul of Theros: From $12 to $10
To determine the value of a booster pack, I'm going to start with the following formula:
(2R + 1M) / 80
That isn't enough of a picture though. In fairness, $0.50 to $1 bulk rares don't really amount to “real” value if you're looking to trade with other players. So I'm omitting the value of any Rare that is below $2 (rounded from $1.99) and any Mythic that is below $4 (rounded from $3.99).
18 out of the 53 Rares have been spoiled. Here are the ones that are $2 and up!
NOTE: Jalira fell below $2 and is now off this list.
Avacyn, Guardian Angel: $3
Chasm Skulker: $2
Genesis Hydra: $2.50
Ob Nixilis, Unshackled: $4
Phyrexian Revoker: $3
Return to the Ranks: $2
Sliver Hive: $4
Spirit Bonds: $2
Waste Not: $10
Yisan, the Wanderer Bard: $2
Total Rare Value: $34.50
Eleven out of the fifteen Mythic Rares have been spoiled.
(NOTE: Soul of Ravnica has fallen below the $4 threshold and is off this list):
Total Mythic Value: $107
So plugging this into the formula, we get the following:
(2R ($34.50) + 1M ($107)) = $176
$176/80 = $2.20 value per pack, or $79.20 per box.
So today's value ends up being exactly the same as yesterday's value, due to two cards being added (Phyrexian Revoker + Perilous Vault) and several cards dropping a dollar here or there in value.
LSV has said he's spoiled a new Jace at midnight tonight, so we'll have another new planeswalker to talk about tomorrow!
Previous Daily Financial Value Of Magic 2015 Articles
6/23 – Aggressive Mining; Avarice Amulet; Chasm Skulker; Cruel Sadist; Darksteel Citadel; Genesis Hydra; Goblin Kaboomist; Jalira, Master Polymorphist; Master of Predicaments; Ob Nixilis, Unshackled; Return to the Ranks; Shield of the Avatar; Soul of New Phyrexia; Soul of Ravnica; Soul of Shandalar; Soul of Zendikar; Spirit Bonds; Waste Not; Yisan, the Wanderer Bard